Subject: EIU Newsletter
From: "Robert Ward" <[email-masked]>
To: David Sergeenko
Date: Fri, 29 Jun 2018 03:10:29 -0500 (CDT)

June's monthly update featuring a selection of the latest news and analysis from The EIU's experts.

Intelligent thinking

A monthly update featuring a selection of the latest news and analysis from The EIU's experts.

Global forecast: July 2018

In our latest global outlook video, director of Country Risk Service Felix Delbrück, Asia analyst Agathe L'homme and director of global forecasting John Ferguson discuss the recent US-North Korea summit, the acrimonious G7 meeting, and ongoing trade tensions between the US and many of its trade partners.

Economic and political analysis

China -
Global growth braced for impact

There is a possibility of the US-China trade dispute escalating to further rounds of non-tariff barriers of the sort that harm business confidence, investment decisions, diplomatic ties and, ultimately, the performance of the global economy.

Read more

North Korea -
US-North Korea summit: a historic anti-climax

Although progress on a sustained reduction in tensions and a normalisation of ties is possible, we retain our view that there is a low chance of complete denuclearisation.

Read more

Automotive
-

Car production breaks new records in 2017

Well-established supply chains, a skilled workforce, low labour costs and a good location make central Europe an attractive investment location. Several new automotive projects are in the pipeline.

Read more

United Kingdom -
Brexit hanging in the balance between two main scenarios

With ten months to go until the UK is, formally at least, meant to leave the EU, there are at least five possible ways in which we see Brexit playing out.

Read more

Turkey -
Trouble ahead for the banking sector

Turkey's banking sector is facing difficulties owing to the decreasing availability of Treasury guarantees for corporate debt, rising funding costs under tightening global liquidity conditions, and domestic political and economic uncertainty.

Read more

Jordan -
Jordan's strengthening ties with the EU

Jordan needs further financial aid from the EU and its member nations to tackle the influx of Syrian refugees, while for the EU nations, Jordan offers trade and investment opportunities. Given these mutual benefits, both sides will strengthen relations in the coming years.

Read more

Argentina -
Argentina secures vital US$50bn IMF deal

Under the terms of the deal, the government has adopted somewhat tougher fiscal targets, under which the primary deficit will be eliminated in 2020 and move into surplus in 2021. The government has also committed to giving the central bank full independence to establish inflation targets.

Read more

Popular webinars

Past webinar

Global oil market: what to expect after OPEC's June meeting

This webinar examines how shifts in the balance of power in the global oil market, and heightened geopolitical risks will impact oil prices in 2018-19.

Watch webinar

Past webinar

Emerging markets: is another crisis looming?

When large external funding needs and institutional fragility coincide, this new climate of fear can rapidly spiral out of control, as recent events in Turkey and Argentina have shown. This webinar reviews the nature of the current turmoil and asks "who might be next"?

Watch webinar

Latest white papers

The US-North Korea summit: what happens next?

This report provides our short and medium impact of the Trump/Kim summit.

READ NOW

Preparing for disruption:

Technological Readiness Ranking

This report assesses how well prepared the world's largest 82 countries are for technological change.

READ NOW

Western Balkans to 2025:

a brighter future or permanent marginalisation?

This report examines the western Balkans, focusing on the region's EU membership and growth prospects.

READ NOW

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